Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.836921 0.968945 1.111894 1.277780 1.464576 1.667996 1.905852
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.661578 0.848883 1.069533 1.346822 1.683994 2.078587 2.573051
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.534581 0.749618 1.021794 1.387269 1.860297 2.446514 3.221847
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.461224 0.697914 1.016274 1.467947 2.083043 2.881091 3.982489
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.380344 0.618543 0.957694 1.463850 2.185619 3.161161 4.558934
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.314778 0.547868 0.897805 1.444869 2.258093 3.398051 5.086245
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.264897 0.491462 0.848815 1.431782 2.331629 3.634833 5.622078
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.233103 0.458308 0.829639 1.458747 2.462410 3.957691 6.295925
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.204853 0.426084 0.806762 1.475278 2.575393 4.258094 6.951216
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.179755 0.395058 0.781192 1.483029 2.672455 4.537365 7.587512
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.162569 0.375920 0.773313 1.518455 2.814996 4.893074 8.357525
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.144563 0.352027 0.753497 1.530051 2.916939 5.188364 9.046515
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.121564 0.314249 0.703772 1.484190 2.919314 5.326874 9.501481
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.111617 0.303068 0.704130 1.530781 3.086832 5.747451 10.436452
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.101471 0.289601 0.698077 1.564141 3.232429 6.138785 11.342814
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.096948 0.288667 0.717698 1.649082 3.477869 6.713335 12.582621
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.085466 0.268350 0.693259 1.642920 3.551738 6.992649 13.333727
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.074395 0.246795 0.663075 1.621364 3.593483 7.215811 13.996772
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.065262 0.228492 0.637650 1.606696 3.646316 7.459799 14.704987
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.059846 0.219575 0.633059 1.636395 3.788804 7.873855 15.731835
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.054365 0.209313 0.623817 1.654616 3.908690 8.251181 16.708144
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.048996 0.198213 0.610965 1.663162 4.008629 8.595138 17.637550
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.045553 0.192557 0.611340 1.702258 4.174890 9.072772 18.831459